Decoding Global Affairs.

Independent Policy Research

Geospatial Interface Restricted // Global Actor Fallback Active

AMERICAS

Aggregate Analysis

63SCORE

EUROPE

Aggregate Analysis

55SCORE

APAC

Aggregate Analysis

58SCORE

MENA

Aggregate Analysis

76SCORE

AFRICA

Aggregate Analysis

79SCORE

Last Updated: MAY 27, 2026 // 04:00 UTC

Global Risk Index+67%

Brent Crude Output$84.32

Articles Published25

Geopolitics

Explore Silo

Iran's Nuclear Program in 2026: What the Data Shows and What It Means

CRITICAL RISK: 91

geopolitics

Iran's Nuclear Program in 2026: What the Data Shows and What It Means

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPM

2026 Geopolitical Outlook: The Year of Compounding Risks

HIGH RISK: 72

geopolitics

2026 Geopolitical Outlook: The Year of Compounding Risks

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

Turkey's Double Game: How Ankara Navigates Between NATO and Its Eastern Partners

MEDIUM RISK: 55

geopolitics

Turkey's Double Game: How Ankara Navigates Between NATO and Its Eastern Partners

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

India's Strategic Moment: Navigating Great Power Competition Without Choosing Sides

MEDIUM RISK: 48

geopolitics

India's Strategic Moment: Navigating Great Power Competition Without Choosing Sides

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

Pakistan's Army and the State: The Unresolved Contest for Governing Authority

HIGH RISK: 72

geopolitics

Global Economy

Explore Silo

Africa's Debt Burden: The Data Behind Who Actually Finances the Continent

HIGH RISK: 70

global-economy

Africa's Debt Burden: The Data Behind Who Actually Finances the Continent

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

The Dollar's Slow Retreat: Reserve Currency in an Era of Fragmentation

MEDIUM RISK: 52

global-economy

The Dollar's Slow Retreat: Reserve Currency in an Era of Fragmentation

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

The Global Debt Supercycle: Why Sovereign Risk Is the Defining Economic Threat of the Late 2020s

HIGH RISK: 68

global-economy

The Global Debt Supercycle: Why Sovereign Risk Is the Defining Economic Threat of the Late 2020s

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

US-China Trade War 2026: The New Economic Battlefield

HIGH RISK: 78

global-economy

US-China Trade War 2026: The New Economic Battlefield

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPH

Security & Defense

Explore Silo

Israel's Strike Doctrine Against Iran: Targets, Capabilities, and the Day After

CRITICAL RISK: 85

security-defense

Israel's Strike Doctrine Against Iran: Targets, Capabilities, and the Day After

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPM

Governance & Politics

Explore Silo

Brazil's Global Ambitions: Lula's South America and the Limits of Regional Leadership

LOW RISK: 45

governance-politics

Brazil's Global Ambitions: Lula's South America and the Limits of Regional Leadership

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

Saudi Arabia's Modernization Agenda: Vision 2030 at the Halfway Point

MEDIUM RISK: 48

governance-politics

Saudi Arabia's Modernization Agenda: Vision 2030 at the Halfway Point

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

Technology & Innovation

Explore Silo

The AI Governance Deficit: Why the World Is Not Ready for What It Has Built

MEDIUM RISK: 58

technology-innovation

The AI Governance Deficit: Why the World Is Not Ready for What It Has Built

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

Energy & Resources

Explore Silo

The Strait of Hormuz Under Threat: What an Iran Conflict Means for Global Energy

HIGH RISK: 78

energy-resources

The Strait of Hormuz Under Threat: What an Iran Conflict Means for Global Energy

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPM

Europe's Energy Independence: Progress, Costs, and the Gaps That Remain

MEDIUM RISK: 45

energy-resources

Europe's Energy Independence: Progress, Costs, and the Gaps That Remain

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

Climate & Environment

Explore Silo

Climate Finance: The Accountability Gap Between Pledges and Delivery

MEDIUM RISK: 60

climate-environment

Climate Finance: The Accountability Gap Between Pledges and Delivery

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

Society & Demographics

Explore Silo

Europe's Migration Reckoning: The Political Fault Lines That Will Shape the Next Decade

HIGH RISK: 65

society-demographics

Europe's Migration Reckoning: The Political Fault Lines That Will Shape the Next Decade

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

Trade & Supply Chains

Explore Silo

Southeast Asia's Industrial Shift: The Data on Who Is Winning the China Plus One Race

LOW RISK: 35

trade-supply-chains

Southeast Asia's Industrial Shift: The Data on Who Is Winning the China Plus One Race

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

China's Infrastructure Gambit: The Belt and Road Initiative at a Crossroads

MEDIUM RISK: 55

trade-supply-chains

China's Infrastructure Gambit: The Belt and Road Initiative at a Crossroads

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

Conflict & Crisis

Explore Silo

Taiwan Strait 2026: Mapping the Scenarios for Cross-Strait Crisis

HIGH RISK: 78

conflict-crisis

Taiwan Strait 2026: Mapping the Scenarios for Cross-Strait Crisis

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

US-Israel vs Iran: The Conflict That Is Reshaping the Middle East in 2026

CRITICAL RISK: 88

conflict-crisis

US-Israel vs Iran: The Conflict That Is Reshaping the Middle East in 2026

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPM

Hezbollah, Houthis, and the Proxy Escalation Ladder: Iran's Multi-Front Strategy

HIGH RISK: 82

conflict-crisis

Hezbollah, Houthis, and the Proxy Escalation Ladder: Iran's Multi-Front Strategy

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPM

The Sahel Collapse: Why a Region of 90 Million People Is Slipping Beyond Governance

CRITICAL RISK: 88

conflict-crisis

The Sahel Collapse: Why a Region of 90 Million People Is Slipping Beyond Governance

RESEARCH ANALYSISID No. 2026-CMPI

Global Risk Index

67Index

Risk Rating

Current geopolitical risk levels indicate elevated risk levels across major global sectors.

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Analysis

Scenario
Forecasting

Explore scenario analysis across multiple geopolitical timelines with our forecasting tools.

Scenario Analysis

Predictive Outcome Modeling // 12-Month Outlook

Regulated Tension

Sustained competition within established international frameworks.

Impact Score

58%

Outcome severity58% Scale

Analysis Complete

Read Full Analysis

Decoding Global Affairs.

AMERICAS

EUROPE

APAC

MENA

AFRICA

Geopolitics

Iran's Nuclear Program in 2026: What the Data Shows and What It Means

2026 Geopolitical Outlook: The Year of Compounding Risks

Turkey's Double Game: How Ankara Navigates Between NATO and Its Eastern Partners

India's Strategic Moment: Navigating Great Power Competition Without Choosing Sides

Pakistan's Army and the State: The Unresolved Contest for Governing Authority

Iran at the Nuclear Threshold: Three Scenarios for 2026

Venezuela 2026: Why Washington Views Caracas as Its Most Urgent Security Threat

Global Economy

Africa's Debt Burden: The Data Behind Who Actually Finances the Continent

The Dollar's Slow Retreat: Reserve Currency in an Era of Fragmentation

The Global Debt Supercycle: Why Sovereign Risk Is the Defining Economic Threat of the Late 2020s

US-China Trade War 2026: The New Economic Battlefield

Security & Defense

Israel's Strike Doctrine Against Iran: Targets, Capabilities, and the Day After

Governance & Politics

Brazil's Global Ambitions: Lula's South America and the Limits of Regional Leadership

Saudi Arabia's Modernization Agenda: Vision 2030 at the Halfway Point

Technology & Innovation

The AI Governance Deficit: Why the World Is Not Ready for What It Has Built

Energy & Resources

The Strait of Hormuz Under Threat: What an Iran Conflict Means for Global Energy

Europe's Energy Independence: Progress, Costs, and the Gaps That Remain

Climate & Environment

Climate Finance: The Accountability Gap Between Pledges and Delivery

Society & Demographics

Europe's Migration Reckoning: The Political Fault Lines That Will Shape the Next Decade

Trade & Supply Chains

Southeast Asia's Industrial Shift: The Data on Who Is Winning the China Plus One Race

China's Infrastructure Gambit: The Belt and Road Initiative at a Crossroads

Conflict & Crisis

Taiwan Strait 2026: Mapping the Scenarios for Cross-Strait Crisis

US-Israel vs Iran: The Conflict That Is Reshaping the Middle East in 2026

Hezbollah, Houthis, and the Proxy Escalation Ladder: Iran's Multi-Front Strategy

The Sahel Collapse: Why a Region of 90 Million People Is Slipping Beyond Governance

Global Risk Index

Premium Research & Analysis

Scenario Forecasting

Scenario Analysis

Regulated Tension

Decoding Global Affairs.

AMERICAS

EUROPE

APAC

MENA

AFRICA

Geopolitics

Iran's Nuclear Program in 2026: What the Data Shows and What It Means

2026 Geopolitical Outlook: The Year of Compounding Risks

Turkey's Double Game: How Ankara Navigates Between NATO and Its Eastern Partners

India's Strategic Moment: Navigating Great Power Competition Without Choosing Sides

Pakistan's Army and the State: The Unresolved Contest for Governing Authority

Iran at the Nuclear Threshold: Three Scenarios for 2026

Venezuela 2026: Why Washington Views Caracas as Its Most Urgent Security Threat

Global Economy

Africa's Debt Burden: The Data Behind Who Actually Finances the Continent

The Dollar's Slow Retreat: Reserve Currency in an Era of Fragmentation

The Global Debt Supercycle: Why Sovereign Risk Is the Defining Economic Threat of the Late 2020s

US-China Trade War 2026: The New Economic Battlefield

Security & Defense

Israel's Strike Doctrine Against Iran: Targets, Capabilities, and the Day After

Governance & Politics

Brazil's Global Ambitions: Lula's South America and the Limits of Regional Leadership

Saudi Arabia's Modernization Agenda: Vision 2030 at the Halfway Point

Technology & Innovation

The AI Governance Deficit: Why the World Is Not Ready for What It Has Built

Energy & Resources

The Strait of Hormuz Under Threat: What an Iran Conflict Means for Global Energy

Europe's Energy Independence: Progress, Costs, and the Gaps That Remain

Climate & Environment

Climate Finance: The Accountability Gap Between Pledges and Delivery

Society & Demographics

Europe's Migration Reckoning: The Political Fault Lines That Will Shape the Next Decade

Trade & Supply Chains

Premium Research &
Analysis

Scenario
Forecasting

Premium Research &
Analysis

Scenario
Forecasting